BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fort Madison

Class: 3A Class Rank: 54 Conference: 3A-5 Record: (10-34-0) Overall: (27-63-0) Overall Strength =   57.09

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Away    W      65.96  36  30   1A 44 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine        8.75     -2.75                      
 2 09/02/2011 Home    L      49.33   7  13   2A 46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee            -7.87      1.87                      
 3 09/09/2011 Home    L * *  29.88   6  41   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -27.32     -7.68                      
 4 09/16/2011 Away    L * *  29.97  12  49   3A 49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield             -27.23     -9.77                      
 5 09/23/2011 Away    L * *  48.80  13  35   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         -8.41    -13.59                      
 6 09/30/2011 Home    L      51.62  15  23   2A 42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton               -5.58     -2.42                      
 7 10/07/2011 Away    L      34.10   0  49   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa             -23.10    -25.90                      
 8 10/14/2011 Home    W      62.29  20  14   2A 45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville             5.09      0.91                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    L      57.87   6  56   3A  2 (102- 17-  0) Pella                   0.66    -50.66                      
10 08/24/2012 Home    W      80.48  34   7   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame          23.28      3.72                      
11 08/31/2012 Away    L      50.19  21  34   2A 42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton               -7.01     -5.99                      
12 09/07/2012 Home    L      39.22   0  53   2A  6 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg          -17.98    -35.02                      
13 09/14/2012 Away    L * *  69.80  14  15   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         12.59    -13.59                      
14 09/21/2012 Home    L      50.47  14  45   3A 29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      -6.73    -24.27                      
15 09/28/2012 Home    W      63.29  21  14   2A 45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville             6.09      0.91                      
16 10/05/2012 Away    L * *  65.97   7   8   3A 49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield               8.77     -9.77                      
17 10/12/2012 Home    L * *  45.36   6  56   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington            -11.84    -38.16                      
18 10/19/2012 Away    L * *  45.45  39  62   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -11.75    -11.25                      
19 08/30/2013 Away    W      60.06  29  26   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame           2.85      0.15  ND                  
20 09/06/2013 Home    L      52.62  14  21   2A 42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton               -4.58     -2.42  ND                  
21 09/13/2013 Away    L      48.80   8  55   2A  6 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg           -8.41    -38.59                      
22 09/20/2013 Home    W * *  83.22  16   0   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         26.02    -10.02                      
23 09/27/2013 Away    L      65.04   8  28   3A 29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       7.84    -27.84  ND                  
24 10/04/2013 Away    L      47.86  16  28   2A 45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville            -9.34     -2.66                      
25 10/11/2013 Home    L * *  62.40  34  35 1 3A 49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield               5.19     -6.19                      
26 10/18/2013 Away    L * *  57.93   8  49   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington              0.73    -41.73                      
27 10/25/2013 Home    L * *  57.88  21  28   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                  0.68     -7.68                      
28 08/29/2014 Home    L      50.48  42  45   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame          -6.72      3.72                      
29 09/05/2014 Away    L * *  36.75  24  49   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington            -20.45     -4.55                      
30 09/12/2014 Home    L      61.95  14  47   3A 12 ( 69- 32-  0) Davenport Assumption    4.75    -37.75                      
31 09/19/2014 Home    L      61.47   8  28   3A 29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       4.27    -24.27                      
32 09/26/2014 Away    L * *  47.97  15  34   3A 49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield              -9.23     -9.77                      
33 10/03/2014 Away    L * *  53.93  20  65   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington             -3.27    -41.73                      
34 10/10/2014 Home    W      62.29  47  41   2A 45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville             5.09      0.91                      
35 10/17/2014 Home    L * *  49.88  20  35   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 -7.32     -7.68                      
36 10/24/2014 Away    L * *  46.80  24  48   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -10.41    -13.59                      
37 08/28/2015 Away    L      22.06  14  49   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -35.15      0.15  ND                  
38 09/04/2015 Home    W * *  60.18   5   3   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington              2.98     -0.98  ND                  
39 09/11/2015 Away    L      28.53   0  70   3A 12 ( 69- 32-  0) Davenport Assumption  -28.68    -41.32                      
40 09/18/2015 Away    L      72.04  14  27   3A 29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      14.84    -27.84                      
41 09/25/2015 Home    L * *  59.40  29  33   3A 49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield               2.19     -6.19                      
42 10/02/2015 Home    L * *  76.36  35  54   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington             19.16    -38.16                      
43 10/09/2015 Away    W      78.86  40  21   2A 45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville            21.66     -2.66  ND                  
44 10/16/2015 Away    L * *  29.45   3  42   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -27.75    -11.25                      
45 10/23/2015 Home    L * *  66.22  13  14   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant          9.02    -10.02                      
46 08/26/2016 Home    L      46.75  20  27   2A 48 ( 32- 59-  0) Davis County          -10.46      3.46  ND                  
47 09/02/2016 Away    L       7.90   8  59   2A 46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee           -49.30     -1.70  ND                  
48 09/09/2016 Home    L      30.53   0  49   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa             -26.67    -22.33                      
49 09/16/2016 Away    L      24.06   0  33   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -33.15      0.15                      
50 09/23/2016 Away    L * *  36.80   0  34   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -20.41    -13.59                      
51 09/30/2016 Home    L      52.62   7  56   2A  1 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                  -4.58    -44.42                      
52 10/07/2016 Away    L * *  25.97   0  41   3A 49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield             -31.23     -9.77                      
53 10/14/2016 Home    L * *  21.88  12  55   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -35.32     -7.68                      
54 10/21/2016 Away    L * *  17.93   0  81   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington            -39.27    -41.73                      
55 08/25/2017 Home    W      92.75  39   0   2A 48 ( 32- 59-  0) Davis County           35.54      3.46  ND                  
56 09/01/2017 Home    W      76.33  56  35   2A 46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee            19.13      1.87  ND                  
57 09/08/2017 Away    L      39.10  14  58   3A 31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa             -18.10    -25.90                      
58 09/15/2017 Home    W      57.48  21  17   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame           0.28      3.72                      
59 09/22/2017 Home    L * *  39.22  16  44   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -17.98    -10.02                      
60 09/29/2017 Away    L      43.19   0  62   2A  1 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                 -14.01    -47.99                      
61 10/06/2017 Home    L * *  36.40   6  33   3A 49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield             -20.81     -6.19                      
62 10/13/2017 Away    W * *  92.45  48  24   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 35.25    -11.25                      
63 10/20/2017 Home    L * *  47.36  15  63   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington             -9.84    -38.16                      
64 08/24/2018 Away    W      79.90  21   0   2A 46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee            22.70     -1.70  ND                  
65 08/31/2018 Home    W      99.48  46   0   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame          42.28      3.72  ND                  
66 09/07/2018 Away    L      47.04   0  38   3A 29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -10.16    -27.84  ND                  
67 09/14/2018 Away    L * *  30.75   0  31   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington            -26.45     -4.55  ND                  
68 09/21/2018 Home    L      58.62   6  49   2A  1 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                   1.42    -44.42                      
69 09/28/2018 Home    L * *  35.40  14  42   3A 49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield             -21.81     -6.19                      
70 10/05/2018 Away    L * *  73.93   7  32   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington             16.73    -41.73                      
71 10/12/2018 Home    L * *  27.22   7  47   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -29.98    -10.02                      
72 10/19/2018 Away    W * *  89.45  35  14   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 32.25    -11.25                      
73 08/30/2019 Home    W      72.33  17   0   2A 46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee            15.13      1.87  ND                  
74 09/06/2019 Away    W      69.06  26  14   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame          11.85      0.15  ND                  
75 09/13/2019 Home    L      59.47  13  35   3A 29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       2.27    -24.27  ND                  
76 09/20/2019 Home    W * *  80.18  28   6   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington             22.98     -0.98  ND                  
77 09/27/2019 Away    L      67.19   7  45   2A  1 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                   9.99    -47.99                      
78 10/04/2019 Away    W * *  73.97  23  16 1 3A 49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield              16.77     -9.77                      
79 10/11/2019 Home    L * *  66.36   7  36   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington              9.16    -38.16                      
80 10/18/2019 Away    L * *  45.80  10  35   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -11.41    -13.59                      
81 10/25/2019 Home    L * *  56.88  20  28   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 -0.32     -7.68                      
82 08/28/2020 Home    W      68.48  23   8   2A 49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame          11.28      3.72  ND                  
83 09/04/2020 Away    W      75.86  28  12   2A 45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville            18.66     -2.66  ND                  
84 09/11/2020 Away    L * *  76.93   7  29   3A  9 ( 74- 30-  0) Washington             19.73    -41.73                      
85 09/18/2020 Home    W * *  71.88  21  14   3A 48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 14.68     -7.68                      
86 09/25/2020 Away    W * * 109.75  55   7   3A 53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington             52.55     -4.55                      
87 10/02/2020 Home    W * * 104.22  44   7   3A 46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         47.02    -10.02                      
88 10/09/2020 Home    W * * 106.40  55  12   3A 49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield              49.19     -6.19                      
89 10/16/2020 Home    W     108.28  45   7   3A 44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              51.07    -13.07                      
90 10/23/2020 Away    L      54.24   0  35   3A 24 ( 55- 46-  0) Grinnell               -2.97    -32.03                      
      Averages              57.09  18.0 32.8

Best game:  109.75 = 48 point win over Burlington
Worst game:   7.90 = 51 point loss to Donnellson Central Lee
Team stdev:  21.39