BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fort Madison

Class: 3A Class Rank: 54 Conference: 3A-5 Record: (10-34-0) Overall: (27-63-0) Overall Strength =   56.98

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    W    65.83  36  30   1A  43 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine        8.74     -2.74                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    L    49.22   7  13   2A  46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee            -7.87      1.87                      
  3 09/09/2011 Home    L *  29.78   6  41   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -27.31     -7.69                      
  4 09/16/2011 Away    L *  29.84  12  49   3A  49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield             -27.25     -9.75                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    L *  48.67  13  35   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         -8.42    -13.58                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    L    51.52  15  23   2A  42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton               -5.57     -2.43                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    L    33.97   0  49   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa             -23.11    -25.89                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    W    62.18  20  14   2A  45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville             5.09      0.91                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    L    57.74   6  56   3A   3 (102- 17-  0) Pella                   0.65    -50.65                      
 10 08/24/2012 Home    W    80.38  34   7   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame          23.29      3.71                      
 11 08/31/2012 Away    L    50.06  21  34   2A  42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton               -7.03     -5.97                      
 12 09/07/2012 Home    L    39.13   0  53   2A   9 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg          -17.96    -35.04                      
 13 09/14/2012 Away    L *  69.67  14  15   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         12.58    -13.58                      
 14 09/21/2012 Home    L    50.37  14  45   3A  29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      -6.71    -24.29                      
 15 09/28/2012 Home    W    63.18  21  14   2A  45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville             6.09      0.91                      
 16 10/05/2012 Away    L *  65.84   7   8   3A  49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield               8.75     -9.75                      
 17 10/12/2012 Home    L *  45.26   6  56   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington            -11.83    -38.17                      
 18 10/19/2012 Away    L *  45.32  39  62   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -11.77    -11.23                      
 19 08/30/2013 Away    W    59.92  29  26   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame           2.83      0.17  ND                  
 20 09/06/2013 Home    L    52.52  14  21   2A  42 ( 34- 57-  0) Chariton               -4.57     -2.43  ND                  
 21 09/13/2013 Away    L    48.67   8  55   2A   9 ( 84- 29-  0) Williamsburg           -8.42    -38.58                      
 22 09/20/2013 Home    W *  83.12  16   0   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         26.04    -10.04                      
 23 09/27/2013 Away    L    64.92   8  28   3A  29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       7.83    -27.83  ND                  
 24 10/04/2013 Away    L    47.72  16  28   2A  45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville            -9.36     -2.64                      
 25 10/11/2013 Home    L *  62.30  34  35 1 3A  49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield               5.21     -6.21                      
 26 10/18/2013 Away    L *  57.80   8  49   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington              0.71    -41.71                      
 27 10/25/2013 Home    L *  57.78  21  28   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                  0.69     -7.69                      
 28 08/29/2014 Home    L    50.38  42  45   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame          -6.71      3.71                      
 29 09/05/2014 Away    L *  36.63  24  49   3A  53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington            -20.46     -4.54                      
 30 09/12/2014 Home    L    61.86  14  47   3A  13 ( 69- 32-  0) Davenport Assumption    4.77    -37.77                      
 31 09/19/2014 Home    L    61.37   8  28   3A  29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       4.29    -24.29                      
 32 09/26/2014 Away    L *  47.84  15  34   3A  49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield              -9.25     -9.75                      
 33 10/03/2014 Away    L *  53.80  20  65   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington             -3.29    -41.71                      
 34 10/10/2014 Home    W    62.18  47  41   2A  45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville             5.09      0.91                      
 35 10/17/2014 Home    L *  49.78  20  35   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 -7.31     -7.69                      
 36 10/24/2014 Away    L *  46.67  24  48   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -10.42    -13.58                      
 37 08/28/2015 Away    L    21.92  14  49   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -35.17      0.17  ND                  
 38 09/04/2015 Home    W *  60.08   5   3   3A  53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington              2.99     -0.99  ND                  
 39 09/11/2015 Away    L    28.40   0  70   3A  13 ( 69- 32-  0) Davenport Assumption  -28.69    -41.31                      
 40 09/18/2015 Away    L    71.92  14  27   3A  29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana      14.83    -27.83                      
 41 09/25/2015 Home    L *  59.30  29  33   3A  49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield               2.21     -6.21                      
 42 10/02/2015 Home    L *  76.26  35  54   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington             19.17    -38.17                      
 43 10/09/2015 Away    W    78.72  40  21   2A  45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville            21.64     -2.64  ND                  
 44 10/16/2015 Away    L *  29.32   3  42   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -27.77    -11.23                      
 45 10/23/2015 Home    L *  66.12  13  14   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant          9.04    -10.04                      
 46 08/26/2016 Home    L    46.64  20  27   2A  48 ( 31- 60-  0) Davis County          -10.45      3.45  ND                  
 47 09/02/2016 Away    L     7.76   8  59   2A  46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee           -49.32     -1.68  ND                  
 48 09/09/2016 Home    L    30.43   0  49   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa             -26.66    -22.34                      
 49 09/16/2016 Away    L    23.92   0  33   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -33.17      0.17                      
 50 09/23/2016 Away    L *  36.67   0  34   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -20.42    -13.58                      
 51 09/30/2016 Home    L    52.52   7  56   2A   4 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                  -4.56    -44.44                      
 52 10/07/2016 Away    L *  25.84   0  41   3A  49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield             -31.25     -9.75                      
 53 10/14/2016 Home    L *  21.78  12  55   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                -35.31     -7.69                      
 54 10/21/2016 Away    L *  17.80   0  81   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington            -39.29    -41.71                      
 55 08/25/2017 Home    W    92.64  39   0   2A  48 ( 31- 60-  0) Davis County           35.55      3.45  ND                  
 56 09/01/2017 Home    W    76.22  56  35   2A  46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee            19.13      1.87  ND                  
 57 09/08/2017 Away    L    38.97  14  58   3A  31 ( 49- 48-  0) Oskaloosa             -18.11    -25.89                      
 58 09/15/2017 Home    W    57.38  21  17   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame           0.29      3.71                      
 59 09/22/2017 Home    L *  39.12  16  44   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -17.96    -10.04                      
 60 09/29/2017 Away    L    43.07   0  62   2A   4 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                 -14.02    -47.98                      
 61 10/06/2017 Home    L *  36.30   6  33   3A  49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield             -20.79     -6.21                      
 62 10/13/2017 Away    W *  92.32  48  24   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 35.23    -11.23                      
 63 10/20/2017 Home    L *  47.26  15  63   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington             -9.83    -38.17                      
 64 08/24/2018 Away    W    79.76  21   0   2A  46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee            22.68     -1.68  ND                  
 65 08/31/2018 Home    W    99.38  46   0   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame          42.29      3.71  ND                  
 66 09/07/2018 Away    L    46.92   0  38   3A  29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana     -10.17    -27.83  ND                  
 67 09/14/2018 Away    L *  30.63   0  31   3A  53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington            -26.46     -4.54  ND                  
 68 09/21/2018 Home    L    58.52   6  49   2A   4 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                   1.44    -44.44                      
 69 09/28/2018 Home    L *  35.30  14  42   3A  49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield             -21.79     -6.21                      
 70 10/05/2018 Away    L *  73.80   7  32   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington             16.71    -41.71                      
 71 10/12/2018 Home    L *  27.12   7  47   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -29.96    -10.04                      
 72 10/19/2018 Away    W *  89.32  35  14   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 32.23    -11.23                      
 73 08/30/2019 Home    W    72.22  17   0   2A  46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee            15.13      1.87  ND                  
 74 09/06/2019 Away    W    68.92  26  14   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame          11.83      0.17  ND                  
 75 09/13/2019 Home    L    59.37  13  35   3A  29 ( 47- 45-  0) Clear Creek-Amana       2.29    -24.29  ND                  
 76 09/20/2019 Home    W *  80.08  28   6   3A  53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington             22.99     -0.99  ND                  
 77 09/27/2019 Away    L    67.07   7  45   2A   4 ( 91- 22-  0) Solon                   9.98    -47.98                      
 78 10/04/2019 Away    W *  73.84  23  16 1 3A  49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield              16.75     -9.75                      
 79 10/11/2019 Home    L *  66.26   7  36   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington              9.17    -38.17                      
 80 10/18/2019 Away    L *  45.67  10  35   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant        -11.42    -13.58                      
 81 10/25/2019 Home    L *  56.78  20  28   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 -0.31     -7.69                      
 82 08/28/2020 Home    W    68.38  23   8   2A  49 ( 27- 64-  0) WB-Notre Dame          11.29      3.71  ND                  
 83 09/04/2020 Away    W    75.72  28  12   2A  45 ( 36- 57-  0) Centerville            18.64     -2.64  ND                  
 84 09/11/2020 Away    L *  76.80   7  29   3A  10 ( 75- 29-  0) Washington             19.71    -41.71                      
 85 09/18/2020 Home    W *  71.78  21  14   3A  48 ( 38- 53-  0) Keokuk                 14.69     -7.69                      
 86 09/25/2020 Away    W * 109.63  55   7   3A  53 ( 19- 69-  0) Burlington             52.54     -4.54                      
 87 10/02/2020 Home    W * 104.12  44   7   3A  46 ( 34- 55-  0) Mount Pleasant         47.04    -10.04                      
 88 10/09/2020 Home    W * 106.30  55  12   3A  49 ( 34- 60-  0) Fairfield              49.21     -6.21                      
 89 10/16/2020 Home    W   108.18  45   7   3A  44 ( 31- 59-  0) Knoxville              51.09    -13.09                      
 90 10/23/2020 Away    L    54.11   0  35   3A  24 ( 55- 46-  0) Grinnell               -2.98    -32.02                      
      Averages              56.98  18.0 32.8

Best game:  109.63 = 48 point win over Burlington
Worst game:   7.76 = 51 point loss to Donnellson Central Lee
Team stdev:  21.39